Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:20PM EDT on Jun 29, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$107,775,752 bet so far

Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎71.0-73.0%$65,146,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.4-64.2%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧65.8-67.1%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧69.0-71.4%$1,222,936

67.9%

-1.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.7-8.3%$65,146,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-13.9%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-14.7%$1,222,936

12.7%

-1.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-10.4%$65,146,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.8-16.7%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-5.4%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-5.3%$1,222,936

8.7%

2.8%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.8%$65,146,172
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.1%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.3%$1,222,936

7.0%

0.8%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-1.0%$65,146,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.6-5.6%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.8%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.9%$1,222,936

2.8%

-0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.8%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,222,936

1.0%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$65,146,172
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,222,936

0.3%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$26,894,420
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$14,519,623
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,222,936

0.2%

-0.0%



Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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